Taking It in the Arm

Plucky Brits lined up today to receive the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccination against Covid-19 disease. It won’t make recipients immune, it won’t prevent them being asymptomatic spreaders. It will reduce their suffering if they become infected and some may not die from the disease. Time will tell how many will be killed by this or any other Covid vaccine.

The Sputnik 5 vaccine was “rushed out to wary Russians” three days ago. The BBC hasn’t forgiven Vladimir Vladimirovich for not poisoning the Skripals beyond all doubt, (it was just “highly likely”), and one of its journalists reporting from Moscow on Sunday couldn’t help getting a few digs in. She signed off saying that infections in Russia were “rising rapidly”. This may be true but it is dead people who matter when talking about Covid – and Russia has a long way to go to catch up with UK-level fatalities.

The UK “Second Wave” of Covid Deaths began (I decided) on 22 September but the rising number of fatalities took a while to impact the curve. Russia’s rise in Covid fatalities as a percentage of deaths from All Causes is noticeable but not pronounced.

A histogram of the UK’s two Covid Waves shows that the Second appears to have peaked in Week 10. In past “normal years”, the old flu would be preparing to make an entrance now, so it will be interesting to see if its victims are ascribed to the new kid on the block, presenting us with a Third Covid Wave that carries us beyond the 17 week duration of the First.

What difference will the vaccines make?

Measure of Man 48 · Country Park

4 thoughts on “Taking It in the Arm

    1. Thanks for the question, Luanne. The Covid-19 vaccines are being produced with unnatural haste and tested on very few people. It seems hardly any folk over the age of eighty took part in the Pfizer BioNTech trials and yet they form the priority group to receive the vaccine in the UK. I based the assertion that the vaccines won’t give immunity to the SARS-CoV-2 virus on what I have read and heard in the last few weeks. The Pfizer vaccine “may” give immunity for up to 90 days, but some people who get the jab “may” subsequently contract Covid-19 but not have symptoms. They can wave their vaccine certificate to get on a plane and unwittingly shed virus on other passengers.
      “A first generation of COVID-19 vaccines is expected to gain approval as soon as the end of 2020 or early 2021. A popular assumption is that these vaccines will provide population immunity that can reduce transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and lead to a resumption of pre-COVID-19 “normalcy”.
      “…we cannot assume COVID-19 vaccines, even if shown to be effective in reducing severity of disease, will reduce virus transmission to a comparable degree. The notion that COVID-19-vaccine-induced population immunity will allow a return to pre-COVID-19 “normalcy” might be based on illusory assumptions.” The Lancet https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)31976-0/fulltext

      Liked by 1 person

      1. So many things are happening that we don’t get to hear about in the UK. Maybe that is a good thing. Less to worry about. I hope you will be safe, if and when the balloon goes up.

        Liked by 1 person

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