Crimean War

This Presidential Decree was activated yesterday. Ukraine wants the Crimea back. “De-occupation” of the Autonomous Republic will not be straightforward and without assistance the strategic capture of the Kerch Strait crossing may prove to be a bridge too far for the Ukraine military. The United States will encourage President Zelensky to throw about what little weight he has, but two of the Normandy Four who met (remotely) only a few days ago – France and Germany – were clearly less enthusiastic about the blue touch paper being lit in the Donbass and Crimea. Forces are gathering, though, and one wrong move by any of those involved in the region could lead to death and destruction on three continents. Wise heads may prevail but there are not many of those around these days. The legacy media are keeping quiet about this. Perhaps there is nothing to see there.

Nature Morte 19 · Frenchman

Taking It in the Arm

Plucky Brits lined up today to receive the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccination against Covid-19 disease. It won’t make recipients immune, it won’t prevent them being asymptomatic spreaders. It will reduce their suffering if they become infected and some may not die from the disease. Time will tell how many will be killed by this or any other Covid vaccine.

The Sputnik 5 vaccine was “rushed out to wary Russians” three days ago. The BBC hasn’t forgiven Vladimir Vladimirovich for not poisoning the Skripals beyond all doubt, (it was just “highly likely”), and one of its journalists reporting from Moscow on Sunday couldn’t help getting a few digs in. She signed off saying that infections in Russia were “rising rapidly”. This may be true but it is dead people who matter when talking about Covid – and Russia has a long way to go to catch up with UK-level fatalities.

The UK “Second Wave” of Covid Deaths began (I decided) on 22 September but the rising number of fatalities took a while to impact the curve. Russia’s rise in Covid fatalities as a percentage of deaths from All Causes is noticeable but not pronounced.

A histogram of the UK’s two Covid Waves shows that the Second appears to have peaked in Week 10. In past “normal years”, the old flu would be preparing to make an entrance now, so it will be interesting to see if its victims are ascribed to the new kid on the block, presenting us with a Third Covid Wave that carries us beyond the 17 week duration of the First.

What difference will the vaccines make?

Measure of Man 48 · Country Park

Two Weeks…

…into the current Meteorological Year, how much is the temperature rising at the Ten Stations?

The Northern Hemisphere has experienced warming that the IPCC isn’t expecting until 2095 – at 2.96°C above Pre-Industrial. Fortunately, the South is bang on the 1.06 degrees the IPCC projected at the end of the year. So in two weeks, the mini Globe has only warmed 38 times as quickly as the IPCC imagined.

The main driver of warmth in The Ten is Koltsovo. In Week 2 it was 4.51°C warmer than at the same time last year, 6.23 degrees above P-I and with a Warming Rate of x238. Eighteen hundred kilometres to the west, Moscow is having a similar experience.

Obviously, all the stations will have weeks of relatively low temperatures in the coming months (north and south) and who knows, by the end of the Met Year they will as a group be close to the IPCC Projection. They may even go below the projected 1.06 degrees. In some graphs I have seen online, the Grand Solar Minimum, the Maunder feel-alike, is expected to take up residence in 2020.

The mythical Sam Carana, at Arctic News, is nonetheless doubling down on his gloomy prognostications of human extinction by 2026. He makes a case for us all departing this life in the coming calendar year.

Extinction and “Global Warming is a hoax” are clearly poles apart. Speaking of which, the GFS 10 Day forecast on Climate Reanalyzer has the Arctic at 2.3°C warmer than expected today but falling to -0.6 a week from now. The Antarctic hovers around 1.6 to 2.0 degrees warmer for the coming 10 days and the World stays mostly within a range of +0.3 to +0.6 (14 to 28 times warmer than the IPCC bargains for.

Here are Week Two graphics for the Ten Stations in Two Hemispheres, plus Durham Tees.

Week2_NorthPlus

Gathering the data and constructing the graphs takes me away from the main task of putting headstone photos on the FamilySearch Shared Tree, so I won’t be doing weather posts every week. I’ll perhaps do an update after each completed month, with an occasional Week Graph if it illustrates something extreme or unexpected. In the media in Week 2 much was made of the heatwave expected in New South Wales that would intensify the bushfires. Notice above that Sydney is roughly in the middle of the green Goldilocks zone. The daily high peaked at 108°F yesterday but fell to 79 degrees (26.11°C) today. Records in Oz may be broken again as summer progresses. Across the Tasman, Wellington was the only one of the southern five in the red. The New Zealand capital may not cool down any time soon.

A Muppet’s Christmas Message

HMSEcho_mod_KarenWilliams — Photographer Karen Williams, MoD (Open Government License) via *Wikimedia Commons*

HMS Echo is here. We firstly want to demonstrate the solidarity we have with Ukraine and the fact that Ukraine doesn’t stand alone, but also demonstrating our rights in order to be able to come to ports such as Odessa, for freedom of navigation, for freedom of navies to be able to operate in the Black Sea. This isn’t Russia’s Sea, this is an international sea.

The UK regime’s Secretary of State for Defence, speaking from the deck of Ukraine’s flagship Hetman Sahaydachniy in Odessa a few days ago.

On Saturday morning another muppet, former Defence Secretary Sir Michael Fallon, was sending his Christmas message to Putin. During a brief rant, he told BBC listeners that Russia had “seized” part of Ukraine. If he believes this he can believe anything.

Rick Wiles and his team discuss the “NATO wants war” issue on TRU News, from about minute 56.

Enjoy your Christmas folks. It could be your last.

Malign Who?

I was still dazed with sleep when I heard the BBC Five Live newsreader say this morning that someone was calling for Russia to be punished with further sanctions, because of their malign activities around the world. I found out later that the potty politician calling the samovar black was one of my countrymen. On the BBC website – Jeremy Hunt wants ‘malign’ Russia to face tougher sanctions.

What a nerve the UK regime has. Hands dripping with the blood of Iraqis, Syrians, Libyans, and Yemenis – and tongues furred with lies and propaganda.

In Syria now, the citizens are rebuilding their broken communities. It isn’t going to be easy. Certain nations, the usual suspects, are determined to keep the war in that country simmering, hoping to bring it to the boil again. Even more disheartening, malign forces are going out of their way to obstruct the reconstruction of Syria’s bombed to beggary infrastructure. Sergei Lavrov spills the beans…

Still think the UN is a force for good in the world? (If you ever did.)

Dionne shares her research into Agenda 21 in a recent video, just days after explaining Common Purpose. We ordinary folk should be afraid, very afraid.

The theory of “projection” goes some way to explain the Russophobia that currently enfeebles western regimes. It is troubling to be a victim of projection in “ordinary, everyday life” – but when the ruling elites of armed to the teeth countries are in this manner deranged…

For the most part, surrounded by American and NATO military bases, libeled and slandered daily, the Russian Federation maintains its dignity, keeps its cool.

See also Agenda 21Revealed – You Need to Know This, and its update Agenda 2030 aka ‘Agenda 21 on steroids’.

Football, Not Coming Home

20180708Football1_7m

This ball, found on Filey Sands last Sunday morning, must have made a lot of little feet very happy. And after 52 years of hurt England almost did the biz in Russia. Losing to Croatia last night was disappointing but the team will surely return to a warm, heroes welcome. Perhaps next time. (Good luck to Croatia in the Final. Hope you win the star for your shirts.)

As bread and circuses go, this World Cup has been one of the most memorable. I hope all fans who made the journey to and around the Federation will get home safely – and tell everyone they know what it is really like over there. Is it really as bad as the treacherous UK regime tells us?

Link

Propaganda

Seemorerocks

As a mouthpiece for a tyrannical regime, the BBC must be without peer. I haven’t read all of Kit’s article yet – it is wonderfully long. If you consume a few paragraphs and feel poisoned there is an antidote. “Uncle Grisha” offers many insights into a more palatable and believable Russia than the country “Auntie” shamelessly misrepresents.

Graham is English but speaks Russian with some fluency and has such an engaging manner that few “natives” seem to object to his questions. A few days ago, he let his hair down (metaphorically) at the stadium in Rostov-on–Don where England played Tunisia in the World Cup. His stock in trade, though, is countering the lies about a country he clearly loves. I’ll give you a link to just one, in the hope that you will seek out more for yourself.

Artek, Crimea – Reality versus BBC Propaganda.