The idea that there is a “climate emergency” seems to have been shanghaied by powerful forces. Who are the powerful? The obscenely rich, who only want to get richer. After denying global warming/climate change for long enough, they are now trying to force the minds of the populace to go places they have previously been encouraged to avoid viz. to accept now that there IS a climate emergency.
Consider the green, carbon reduced election promises of the major political class in the UK. And when the BBC weighs in on the side of a CE, you can be sure that something underhand is going on.
The October just gone was the second warmest since the late 1800s. But this blogpost from Weather Underground includes a graphic from Copernic EU claiming it is the hottest on record, with temperatures o.69°C above average. I haven’t been keeping monthly averages, but a quick calculation of my Ten Station returns indicates a rise last month of 0.8° above the 10-Year Average (Met Years 2008/9 to 2017/18).
Last week, my tiny proportion of the globe was only 0.11° above the 10-Year baseline but in the mix was Buenos Aires, almost 4 degrees C warmer (4.8°C above Pre-Industrial).
Shanghai moved up a place in the Year-to-Date chart, pushing a chillier Cape Town down to seventh.
Again, the Durham Tees outlier was (relatively) the coldest of the eleven stations I’m monitoring, by week and YTD.
With only a week to go, it appears that both Shanghai and the Northern (5 Station) Hemisphere will buck the trends expected at the end of August. An indication, perhaps, that the Grand Solar Minimum is biding its time before biting.
Five of the ten weather stations were over 2ºC warmer than my Pre-Industrial Baseline last week. Shanghai’s 2.84 degrees was, however, no match for Cape Town and they swapped places in the “League Table”. Shanghai fell to 7th.
The three particularly warm northern stations pushed the hemisphere into the “orange zone” for Week 41, a marked change after last week’s chill. A couple of weeks ago I mentioned the cold spring expected in New Zealand. Across the Tasman, Australia has been promised higher than normal temperatures for the season. Last week, Sydney and Wellington vied for chilliness, with the New Zealand capital winning by a smidgen.
Our week in north-east England has been the polar-opposite to Shanghai – but it is all relative. The clear warming trend in Durham Tees from Wednesday to Fri continued and gave us a pleasant, sunny weekend.
The Bahamas expected more misery from tropical storm Humberto but has been reprieved. Humberto may strengthen to hurricane status, but a sharp turn northeast is predicted to take it away from the United States.
Winter in New South Wales and Queensland has been described as “disastrous”, but Australians are being prepared by their media for possible “apocalyptic weather” if what is happening in the Antarctic migrates northwards. The Arctic continues to edge towards its state change.
Seven of the ten monitored weather stations experienced average Mean temperatures above the Paris Accord’s limit this week. Washington DC’s relative cold sent me looking online for confirmation and I found some comments about cool temperatures and rainstorms. The forecast is for a cooler than usual summer there. The heat in India has made an impression on Mumbai. It’s running average is no longer below Pre-Industrial levels. Buenos Aires continues to warm, and summer seems to have arrived in Rome, thought Europe’s Eternal City continues to be cooler this year than the Ten Year Average (2008. To 2017/18). The north of England, represented by Durham Tees, has slipped back into chilliness.
This week’s twins are Shanghai and Sydney.
The Arctic Basin is a long way from any of my Ten Weather Stations but it seems reasonable to expect it will give an early warning of the Grand Solar Minimum’s arrival.
A couple of the ten Weather Stations I have been monitoring have been renamed – but their data continue to be reported. Beijing Capital, though, seems to have ‘gone dark’ and a couple of other stations in the city don’t have historical data back to December 2008. I’ve had to fly south to Shanghai to acquire replacement figures.
Shanghai experienced the same warm start to the meteorological year as Beijing and suffered the first of the big freezes. But it ended the season ‘above Paris’ (1.57°C) whereas Beijing had increased just 0.01 degree above the estimated 0.85°C rise since the Industrial Age began.
I’ll report on the first month of the Northern Spring and Southern Autumn in a few days time. Solar Minimumists are reporting that the Little Ice Age is definitely underway but my Ten Weather Stations are not yet feeling a persistent chill. Arctic amplification, on the other hand, is in overdrive at the moment with temperatures well above normal in Alaska.